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Unemployment
True Rate of Unemployment
The percentage of the U.S. labor force that is
functionally
unemployed
True Rate of Unemployment
Out of the Population
True Rate of Unemployment Out of the Population
The percentage of the
whole U.S. population
that is functionally unemployed
Informal Economy
Income-generating activities conducted outside traditional employment and wage-tracking systems
Earnings
True Weekly Earnings
LISEP’s measure of the weekly earnings of all members of the workforce
Cost of Living
True Living Cost
LISEP’s cost-of-living metric
Minimal Quality of Life
The cost of basic recreation
Local
Local Analysis
Localized economic metrics for the 50 largest metropolitan statistical areas
Local Unemployment Data
The state and local True Rate of Unemployment
News & Analysis
News
News from and about LISEP
Analysis
Original research and commentary from LISEP economists
The Vanishing American Dream
Gene Ludwig’s book about the economic realities facing middle- and lower-income Americans
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Analysis
Original research and commentary from LISEP economists
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Beyond the Median: A Comprehensive Analysis of San Jose's Economy
Despite its reputation for high living costs, the San Francisco Bay Area MSA ranks as a top performer for middle- and working-class families. LISEP delved deeper into the data to uncover the factors driving this outcome.
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Beyond the Median: A Comprehensive Analysis of San Jose's Economy
Despite its reputation for high living costs, the San Francisco Bay Area MSA ranks as a top performer for middle- and working-class families. LISEP delved deeper into the data to uncover the factors driving this outcome.
LISEP Research
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Into Thin Heir: America’s “Legal” Purloining of Black Farmland
In 1910, Black farmers owned an estimated 16-19 million acres. Today, 10% of that land remains in their hands, stolen by a silent enemy — “heirs’ property.”
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The Invisible Workforce: Women in the Informal Economy
Women account for a disproportionately large share of the informal economy, a sector plagued by poverty, exploitation, and lack of social protections.
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Beyond the Median: A Comprehensive Analysis of San Jose's Economy
Despite its reputation for high living costs, the San Francisco Bay Area MSA ranks as a top performer for middle- and working-class families. LISEP delved deeper into the data to uncover the factors driving this outcome.
Beyond the Median: A Comprehensive Analysis of San Jose's Economy
Despite its reputation for high living costs, the San Francisco Bay Area MSA ranks as a top performer for middle- and working-class families. LISEP delved deeper into the data to uncover the factors driving this outcome.
Beyond the Median: A Comprehensive Analysis of San Jose's Economy
Despite its reputation for high living costs, the San Francisco Bay Area MSA ranks as a top performer for middle- and working-class families. LISEP delved deeper into the data to uncover the factors driving this outcome.
August 28, 2024
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Into Thin Heir: America’s “Legal” Purloining of Black Farmland
In 1910, Black farmers owned an estimated 16-19 million acres. Today, 10% of that land remains in their hands, stolen by a silent enemy — “heirs’ property.”
Into Thin Heir: America’s “Legal” Purloining of Black Farmland
In 1910, Black farmers owned an estimated 16-19 million acres. Today, 10% of that land remains in their hands, stolen by a silent enemy — “heirs’ property.”
Into Thin Heir: America’s “Legal” Purloining of Black Farmland
In 1910, Black farmers owned an estimated 16-19 million acres. Today, 10% of that land remains in their hands, stolen by a silent enemy — “heirs’ property.”
February 21, 2024
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If the Economy Is Hot, Why Are Voters So Frustrated?
Rarely has Washington stumbled on an issue more confounding than President Biden’s low approval ratings.
If the Economy Is Hot, Why Are Voters So Frustrated?
Rarely has Washington stumbled on an issue more confounding than President Biden’s low approval ratings.
If the Economy Is Hot, Why Are Voters So Frustrated?
Rarely has Washington stumbled on an issue more confounding than President Biden’s low approval ratings.
January 25, 2024
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The Invisible Workforce: Women in the Informal Economy
Women account for a disproportionately large share of the informal economy, a sector plagued by poverty, exploitation, and lack of social protections.
The Invisible Workforce: Women in the Informal Economy
Women account for a disproportionately large share of the informal economy, a sector plagued by poverty, exploitation, and lack of social protections.
The Invisible Workforce: Women in the Informal Economy
Women account for a disproportionately large share of the informal economy, a sector plagued by poverty, exploitation, and lack of social protections.
November 29, 2023
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A Tale of Two Unemployments
Sadly, we are likely headed towards serious unemployment in the United States. The Fed’s hammer of higher interest rates to fight inflation will almost inexorably lead to serious job loss.
A Tale of Two Unemployments
Sadly, we are likely headed towards serious unemployment in the United States. The Fed’s hammer of higher interest rates to fight inflation will almost inexorably lead to serious job loss.
A Tale of Two Unemployments
Sadly, we are likely headed towards serious unemployment in the United States. The Fed’s hammer of higher interest rates to fight inflation will almost inexorably lead to serious job loss.
April 13, 2023
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Why the Shrinking of America’s Recreation Budget Matters
Too many middle- and low- income Americans are slowly but surely having to bid farewell to even the most basic leisure activities.
Why the Shrinking of America’s Recreation Budget Matters
Too many middle- and low- income Americans are slowly but surely having to bid farewell to even the most basic leisure activities.
Why the Shrinking of America’s Recreation Budget Matters
Too many middle- and low- income Americans are slowly but surely having to bid farewell to even the most basic leisure activities.
February 8, 2023
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Economists Have Failed Middle-Class Americans
When inflation finally comes under control, everyone will rightfully celebrate. But even as Washington and Wall Street collectively exhale, policymakers will need to take some time to understand why 2021’s prevailing economic wisdom proved so wrong.
Economists Have Failed Middle-Class Americans
When inflation finally comes under control, everyone will rightfully celebrate. But even as Washington and Wall Street collectively exhale, policymakers will need to take some time to understand why 2021’s prevailing economic wisdom proved so wrong.
Economists Have Failed Middle-Class Americans
When inflation finally comes under control, everyone will rightfully celebrate. But even as Washington and Wall Street collectively exhale, policymakers will need to take some time to understand why 2021’s prevailing economic wisdom proved so wrong.
January 30, 2023
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Bloomberg
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FTX Was a Warning. Washington Should Act Now to Fill Other Holes in the Swiss Cheese
Instead of creating a new bureaucracy every time a new scam shows up, Congress should empower existing financial regulators.
FTX Was a Warning. Washington Should Act Now to Fill Other Holes in the Swiss Cheese
Instead of creating a new bureaucracy every time a new scam shows up, Congress should empower existing financial regulators.
FTX Was a Warning. Washington Should Act Now to Fill Other Holes in the Swiss Cheese
Instead of creating a new bureaucracy every time a new scam shows up, Congress should empower existing financial regulators.
December 16, 2022
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MarketWatch
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Working Class Americans Need a Hand Up, Not a Handout
Middle- and low-income Americans are materially worse off over at least the last two decades than government headline statistics would have us believe.
Working Class Americans Need a Hand Up, Not a Handout
Middle- and low-income Americans are materially worse off over at least the last two decades than government headline statistics would have us believe.
Working Class Americans Need a Hand Up, Not a Handout
Middle- and low-income Americans are materially worse off over at least the last two decades than government headline statistics would have us believe.
November 17, 2022
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Newsweek
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The Tipping Point: Changing the Dynamic for Struggling Gig Economy Workers
Americans are increasingly reliant on the benefits of gig economy companies. But underlying factors within the growing gig economy foretell an increasingly ominous economic environment for gig workers.
The Tipping Point: Changing the Dynamic for Struggling Gig Economy Workers
Americans are increasingly reliant on the benefits of gig economy companies. But underlying factors within the growing gig economy foretell an increasingly ominous economic environment for gig workers.
The Tipping Point: Changing the Dynamic for Struggling Gig Economy Workers
Americans are increasingly reliant on the benefits of gig economy companies. But underlying factors within the growing gig economy foretell an increasingly ominous economic environment for gig workers.
September 16, 2022
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The True Cost of Misleading Headline Inflation Statistics
Several key government-reported headline statistics present a distorted view of reality for most Americans, with the impact extending far beyond Wall Street. And it can have dire consequences — particularly when those numbers drive economic policy. Look no further than the Federal Reserve's recent decision to hike interest rates.
The True Cost of Misleading Headline Inflation Statistics
Several key government-reported headline statistics present a distorted view of reality for most Americans, with the impact extending far beyond Wall Street. And it can have dire consequences — particularly when those numbers drive economic policy. Look no further than the Federal Reserve's recent decision to hike interest rates.
The True Cost of Misleading Headline Inflation Statistics
Several key government-reported headline statistics present a distorted view of reality for most Americans, with the impact extending far beyond Wall Street. And it can have dire consequences — particularly when those numbers drive economic policy. Look no further than the Federal Reserve's recent decision to hike interest rates.
August 12, 2022
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American Banker
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“Too Big to Fail” Again?
Why Washington needs to wake up to the crisis that’s looming in the nonbank financial sector.
“Too Big to Fail” Again?
Why Washington needs to wake up to the crisis that’s looming in the nonbank financial sector.
“Too Big to Fail” Again?
Why Washington needs to wake up to the crisis that’s looming in the nonbank financial sector.
August 3, 2022
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Democracy Journal
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CPI Doesn’t Capture the True Cost of Living in Trump Country
Wednesday’s consumer-price index report showed a 9.1% year-over-year jump. Following similar news last month, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 0.75 percentage point. This spells double trouble for middle- and low-income Americans: increased expenses for the former and job losses from the latter.
CPI Doesn’t Capture the True Cost of Living in Trump Country
Wednesday’s consumer-price index report showed a 9.1% year-over-year jump. Following similar news last month, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 0.75 percentage point. This spells double trouble for middle- and low-income Americans: increased expenses for the former and job losses from the latter.
CPI Doesn’t Capture the True Cost of Living in Trump Country
Wednesday’s consumer-price index report showed a 9.1% year-over-year jump. Following similar news last month, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates by 0.75 percentage point. This spells double trouble for middle- and low-income Americans: increased expenses for the former and job losses from the latter.
July 15, 2022
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The Wall Street Journal
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Inflation Has Been Pummeling the Middle Class for Decades, but the Out-of-touch CPI Masks this Reality
Perhaps “fake” is too strong a term to describe the data-driven consumer price index (CPI), which serves as the U.S. government’s proxy for inflation. But the narrative the CPI has long burnished — namely that, since 2000, ordinary expenses have been fairly manageable amid rising wages — is entirely debunked by new research.
Inflation Has Been Pummeling the Middle Class for Decades, but the Out-of-touch CPI Masks this Reality
Perhaps “fake” is too strong a term to describe the data-driven consumer price index (CPI), which serves as the U.S. government’s proxy for inflation. But the narrative the CPI has long burnished — namely that, since 2000, ordinary expenses have been fairly manageable amid rising wages — is entirely debunked by new research.
Inflation Has Been Pummeling the Middle Class for Decades, but the Out-of-touch CPI Masks this Reality
Perhaps “fake” is too strong a term to describe the data-driven consumer price index (CPI), which serves as the U.S. government’s proxy for inflation. But the narrative the CPI has long burnished — namely that, since 2000, ordinary expenses have been fairly manageable amid rising wages — is entirely debunked by new research.
May 28, 2022
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MarketWatch
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Minority-owned Banks Need More Help and Fewer Setbacks from Washington
Each time the economy falters, a disproportionate number of Minority Depository Institutions find themselves in trouble through no fault of their own.
Minority-owned Banks Need More Help and Fewer Setbacks from Washington
Each time the economy falters, a disproportionate number of Minority Depository Institutions find themselves in trouble through no fault of their own.
Minority-owned Banks Need More Help and Fewer Setbacks from Washington
Each time the economy falters, a disproportionate number of Minority Depository Institutions find themselves in trouble through no fault of their own.
April 29, 2022
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The Hill
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Employment Effect of Eliminating COVID-19 Related Expanded Unemployment Benefits
The effect of eliminating COVID-related unemployment benefits may increase workers seeking employment, but the effect of the reduction is dependent upon a state’s underlying COVID policies.
Employment Effect of Eliminating COVID-19 Related Expanded Unemployment Benefits
The effect of eliminating COVID-related unemployment benefits may increase workers seeking employment, but the effect of the reduction is dependent upon a state’s underlying COVID policies.
Employment Effect of Eliminating COVID-19 Related Expanded Unemployment Benefits
The effect of eliminating COVID-related unemployment benefits may increase workers seeking employment, but the effect of the reduction is dependent upon a state’s underlying COVID policies.
March 21, 2022
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The Need for Government Investment in Childcare
The benefits and pay for many childcare workers are unattractive. But the pay reality for childcare workers is far grimmer than Bureau of Labor Statistics data portrays.
The Need for Government Investment in Childcare
The benefits and pay for many childcare workers are unattractive. But the pay reality for childcare workers is far grimmer than Bureau of Labor Statistics data portrays.
The Need for Government Investment in Childcare
The benefits and pay for many childcare workers are unattractive. But the pay reality for childcare workers is far grimmer than Bureau of Labor Statistics data portrays.
January 21, 2022
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A Better Metric to Steer Macroeconomic Policy
The unemployment rate has not been helpful in predicting inflation. A much more revealing indicator is LISEP’s functional employment to population ratio, which may give the Fed the flashlight it needs to steer the economy.
A Better Metric to Steer Macroeconomic Policy
The unemployment rate has not been helpful in predicting inflation. A much more revealing indicator is LISEP’s functional employment to population ratio, which may give the Fed the flashlight it needs to steer the economy.
A Better Metric to Steer Macroeconomic Policy
The unemployment rate has not been helpful in predicting inflation. A much more revealing indicator is LISEP’s functional employment to population ratio, which may give the Fed the flashlight it needs to steer the economy.
November 24, 2021
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Why Are We Surprised that Hospitality Workers Are Moving to Other Sectors?
Businesses in the hospitality and leisure sector ought to consider more than just pay if they wish to keep their employees.
Why Are We Surprised that Hospitality Workers Are Moving to Other Sectors?
Businesses in the hospitality and leisure sector ought to consider more than just pay if they wish to keep their employees.
Why Are We Surprised that Hospitality Workers Are Moving to Other Sectors?
Businesses in the hospitality and leisure sector ought to consider more than just pay if they wish to keep their employees.
October 22, 2021
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America’s Hidden Hedge Against Inflation
There is an enormous (but invisible) supply of labor that companies can hire to keep costs down.
America’s Hidden Hedge Against Inflation
There is an enormous (but invisible) supply of labor that companies can hire to keep costs down.
America’s Hidden Hedge Against Inflation
There is an enormous (but invisible) supply of labor that companies can hire to keep costs down.
October 7, 2021
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MarketWatch
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The Healthcare Con: How Health Insurers Are Hijacking Workers’ Wage Gains
Employers should not pay healthcare companies. Instead, they should give this money directly to their employees to buy their own healthcare.
The Healthcare Con: How Health Insurers Are Hijacking Workers’ Wage Gains
Employers should not pay healthcare companies. Instead, they should give this money directly to their employees to buy their own healthcare.
The Healthcare Con: How Health Insurers Are Hijacking Workers’ Wage Gains
Employers should not pay healthcare companies. Instead, they should give this money directly to their employees to buy their own healthcare.
September 28, 2021
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Measured by Creation of Good Jobs, Today’s Recovery Stands Alone
Economic recoveries should be judged not simply by how many jobs come online, but by whether the jobs created pay a reliably middle-class wage.
Measured by Creation of Good Jobs, Today’s Recovery Stands Alone
Economic recoveries should be judged not simply by how many jobs come online, but by whether the jobs created pay a reliably middle-class wage.
Measured by Creation of Good Jobs, Today’s Recovery Stands Alone
Economic recoveries should be judged not simply by how many jobs come online, but by whether the jobs created pay a reliably middle-class wage.
September 25, 2021
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Higher Wages Won’t Break the Bottom Line
Wage increases need not spark inflation. Corporate profits and cash reserves mean that industry can and should pay their workers more.
Higher Wages Won’t Break the Bottom Line
Wage increases need not spark inflation. Corporate profits and cash reserves mean that industry can and should pay their workers more.
Higher Wages Won’t Break the Bottom Line
Wage increases need not spark inflation. Corporate profits and cash reserves mean that industry can and should pay their workers more.
August 24, 2021
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Real Recovery Means Better Jobs and More Jobs
It’s important that job quality is as much a public policy priority as quantity.
Real Recovery Means Better Jobs and More Jobs
It’s important that job quality is as much a public policy priority as quantity.
Real Recovery Means Better Jobs and More Jobs
It’s important that job quality is as much a public policy priority as quantity.
August 23, 2021
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Reforms That Can Help Revive the American Dream
A new cadre of financial regulators can transform the financial world’s role in the fight against prejudice and inequality.
Reforms That Can Help Revive the American Dream
A new cadre of financial regulators can transform the financial world’s role in the fight against prejudice and inequality.
Reforms That Can Help Revive the American Dream
A new cadre of financial regulators can transform the financial world’s role in the fight against prejudice and inequality.
April 21, 2021
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When It Comes to Biden’s Jobs Bill, Bigger Is Better
Policymakers shouldn’t be fooled by a bullish stock market or what appears to be plummeting unemployment rates. Now is not the time to take our foot off the gas.
When It Comes to Biden’s Jobs Bill, Bigger Is Better
Policymakers shouldn’t be fooled by a bullish stock market or what appears to be plummeting unemployment rates. Now is not the time to take our foot off the gas.
When It Comes to Biden’s Jobs Bill, Bigger Is Better
Policymakers shouldn’t be fooled by a bullish stock market or what appears to be plummeting unemployment rates. Now is not the time to take our foot off the gas.
April 19, 2021
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Go Big on COVID Stimulus — We Can’t Afford Not To
The country needs this amount of relief — or more.
Go Big on COVID Stimulus — We Can’t Afford Not To
The country needs this amount of relief — or more.
Go Big on COVID Stimulus — We Can’t Afford Not To
The country needs this amount of relief — or more.
March 3, 2021
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Expand CRA to Include Nonbanks
As the world of finance has changed, the Community Reinvestment Act’s reach has failed to keep pace. Of most concern, large portions of the lending marketplace have been claimed by nonbank lenders that are not subject to the CRA’s regulations. Today, that disparity threatens to undermine the spirit of equality the CRA intended nearly a half-century ago.
Expand CRA to Include Nonbanks
As the world of finance has changed, the Community Reinvestment Act’s reach has failed to keep pace. Of most concern, large portions of the lending marketplace have been claimed by nonbank lenders that are not subject to the CRA’s regulations. Today, that disparity threatens to undermine the spirit of equality the CRA intended nearly a half-century ago.
Expand CRA to Include Nonbanks
As the world of finance has changed, the Community Reinvestment Act’s reach has failed to keep pace. Of most concern, large portions of the lending marketplace have been claimed by nonbank lenders that are not subject to the CRA’s regulations. Today, that disparity threatens to undermine the spirit of equality the CRA intended nearly a half-century ago.
February 22, 2021
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Unemployment Is Much Worse Than You Think — Here’s Why
These days the headline unemployment rate isn’t just an undercount, it actually paints an alternate reality that masks the degree to which low- and moderate-income people are hurting. As a result, policymakers believe these Americans are better off than they actually are.
Unemployment Is Much Worse Than You Think — Here’s Why
These days the headline unemployment rate isn’t just an undercount, it actually paints an alternate reality that masks the degree to which low- and moderate-income people are hurting. As a result, policymakers believe these Americans are better off than they actually are.
Unemployment Is Much Worse Than You Think — Here’s Why
These days the headline unemployment rate isn’t just an undercount, it actually paints an alternate reality that masks the degree to which low- and moderate-income people are hurting. As a result, policymakers believe these Americans are better off than they actually are.
January 25, 2021
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Politico
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US Regulators Should Prod Lenders to Help Minority Communities
Present markets will probably prompt lenders to serve wealthier individuals and bigger companies first, exacerbating inequality. Fortunately, regulators have within their grasp several tools to direct lending to the businesses and low-income families — including many minority communities — where it will do the most good.
US Regulators Should Prod Lenders to Help Minority Communities
Present markets will probably prompt lenders to serve wealthier individuals and bigger companies first, exacerbating inequality. Fortunately, regulators have within their grasp several tools to direct lending to the businesses and low-income families — including many minority communities — where it will do the most good.
US Regulators Should Prod Lenders to Help Minority Communities
Present markets will probably prompt lenders to serve wealthier individuals and bigger companies first, exacerbating inequality. Fortunately, regulators have within their grasp several tools to direct lending to the businesses and low-income families — including many minority communities — where it will do the most good.
October 11, 2020
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How the Fed’s Rescue Program Is Worsening Inequality
Outrage over generous loans to well-heeled businesses is obscuring another troubling problem: The Federal Reserve’s efforts to preserve liquidity in the corporate debt market are, however inadvertently, sending wealth up the income scale, exacerbating inequality.
How the Fed’s Rescue Program Is Worsening Inequality
Outrage over generous loans to well-heeled businesses is obscuring another troubling problem: The Federal Reserve’s efforts to preserve liquidity in the corporate debt market are, however inadvertently, sending wealth up the income scale, exacerbating inequality.
How the Fed’s Rescue Program Is Worsening Inequality
Outrage over generous loans to well-heeled businesses is obscuring another troubling problem: The Federal Reserve’s efforts to preserve liquidity in the corporate debt market are, however inadvertently, sending wealth up the income scale, exacerbating inequality.
May 28, 2020
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Rosy Economic Data Belies a Harsh Reality for Many Americans
To read the economic reports coming out of Washington, you might assume that the American economy is firing on all cylinders. But beneath this rosy picture is a much darker reality.
Rosy Economic Data Belies a Harsh Reality for Many Americans
To read the economic reports coming out of Washington, you might assume that the American economy is firing on all cylinders. But beneath this rosy picture is a much darker reality.
Rosy Economic Data Belies a Harsh Reality for Many Americans
To read the economic reports coming out of Washington, you might assume that the American economy is firing on all cylinders. But beneath this rosy picture is a much darker reality.
May 15, 2019
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Strong GDP and Jobs Numbers Don’t Tell the Whole Story about America's Economic Reality
A different picture emerges looking at the homeless people gathered by the Federal Reserve building in DC, or in visiting my hometown, York, Pennsylvania, where wages have stagnated and factories have closed.
Strong GDP and Jobs Numbers Don’t Tell the Whole Story about America's Economic Reality
A different picture emerges looking at the homeless people gathered by the Federal Reserve building in DC, or in visiting my hometown, York, Pennsylvania, where wages have stagnated and factories have closed.
Strong GDP and Jobs Numbers Don’t Tell the Whole Story about America's Economic Reality
A different picture emerges looking at the homeless people gathered by the Federal Reserve building in DC, or in visiting my hometown, York, Pennsylvania, where wages have stagnated and factories have closed.
July 16, 2018
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